NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 20, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 28 | 9 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 26 | 9 | 61.9% | 2 | 30.3 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 24 | 9 | 57.1% | 3 | 29.6 | 3 |
| 4 | Andrew Moeller | 22 | 9 | 52.4% | 4 | 25.4 | 4 |
| 5 | Gavin Gray | 21 | 9 | 50.0% | 5 | 25.1 | 5 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 20 | 9 | 47.6% | 6 | 24.7 | 7 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 20 | 9 | 47.6% | 6 | 24.8 | 6 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 19 | 9 | 45.2% | 8 | 23.9 | 8 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 15 | 9 | 35.7% | 9 | 18.2 | 10 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 15 | 9 | 35.7% | 9 | 19.5 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 14.9 | DAL | 0.31 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 10.9 | ATL | 0.75 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 7.7 | NYJ | 0.46 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 11 | 13.1 | CHI | 0.77 |
| New York Giants | 8 | 9.1 | MIN | 0.39 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 8.1 | CIN | 0.38 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 10 | 12.0 | WAS | 0.73 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 10.1 | IND | 0.64 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 7.5 | NO | 0.61 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 11 | 12.7 | NYG | 0.61 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 8.0 | SF | 0.27 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 4.7 | TB | 0.30 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 10 | 11.7 | NE | 0.62 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 7.2 | LV | 0.59 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 6.2 | CLE | 0.39 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 8.5 | CAR | 0.61 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 8.4 | HOU | 0.69 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 7.9 | ARI | 0.70 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 13.4 | SEA | 0.81 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 7.4 | PIT | 0.41 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 3.9 | BUF | 0.23 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 12.3 | PHI | 0.69 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 6.4 | DET | 0.39 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 5.2 | LAC | 0.36 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 7 | 8.1 | JAX | 0.54 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 5.0 | LA | 0.54 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 5.1 | DEN | 0.46 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 9.8 | GB | 0.64 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 7.6 | MIA | 0.36 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 2.1 | TEN | 0.31 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 11 | 1 | 13 | -2 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 8 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 10 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 11 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 10 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 19 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 16 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 4 | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 23 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 3 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 13 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| New York Jets | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 5 | 10 | -4 | 14 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
Draft Results
